I don't post often to this blog, but I needed to get this shared and this is the best venue I have to do so with. This is long, but if you read it all you will understand why I believe trump will be the next President.
I'm only grabbing information for the polls above that are questionable to help you understand why RCP's average is wrong. Mostly you will see how the pollsters over-sampled Democrats, Independents, and women on most of these polls. In the poll below. the NBC/Wall Street poll below they actually interviewed 50% Obama voters ij 2012 and only 35% of those who voted for Romney in 2012.